Mar 27 2003

What do you do when you’re the gov­ern­ment of a nation whose eco­nomy is not as good as it once was?

  1. Spend $$$ on arma­ments in a Keyne­sian spend­ing spree.
  2. Go to war with a small, easily-​​defeatable nation.
  3. After win­ning, rebuild the nation so that it will be forever fin­an­cially indebted to you and heav­ily depend­ent on your tech­no­logy and expert­ise [altern­ate link].
  4. PROFIT!!!

Do I sense some déjà vu? Hitler tried this, as did Gen­eral Leo­poldo Gal­tieri of Argen­tina and count­less other gov­ern­ments world­wide, includ­ing sev­eral US admin­is­tra­tions. Is eco­nomic growth worth such blood­shed and trauma? That obvi­ously depends on the cir­cum­stances at the time, but for this war I am still uncon­vinced. We’ll see what hap­pens.

I found an inter­est­ing art­icle in The Guard­ian from last year (April 4, 2002). Here’s an excerpt:

The Brit­ish people have acquired some not­able inform­a­tion about the Falk­lands war in 2002 that they were denied 20 years ago, when the war itself took place behind a blanket of cen­sor­ship. In the 1982 author­ised Thatcher­ite ver­sion of events, Bri­tain set out to recap­ture the Falk­land Islands with strong but tacit Amer­ican sup­port, in the face of French dupli­city, and won a bril­liant vic­tory against a demor­al­ised Argen­tine enemy. Twenty years on, thanks to the mem­oirs of the then defence sec­ret­ary, Sir John Nott, and an inter­view with the task force com­mander, Admiral Sandy Wood­ward, we are learn­ing a very dif­fer­ent ver­sion. Far from being an ally, Ron­ald Reagan’s US stands revealed by Sir John as per­sist­ently unre­li­able. Mean­while under François Mit­ter­rand, a will­ing France turns out to have sup­plied Bri­tain with price­less tech­nical details about the Exo­cet mis­sile. Admiral Wood­ward has now revealed that the fight­ing in the south Atlantic was “a lot closer run” than we were told at the time. “We were on our last legs,” the admiral says. If the Argen­tines had held out for another week, they would have defeated an exhausted Bri­tain. Think how dif­fer­ent our recent polit­ical his­tory might have been then.

In other words, the USA stood aside while the ter­rit­ory of its closest ally was invaded by its bel­li­ger­ent neigh­bour. Maybe the Brit­ish should boy­cott everything Amer­ican? Even fun­nier was the rev­el­a­tion that the UK was aided by France!

The above-​​quoted art­icle high­lights the impact of cen­sor­ship dur­ing times of war, not only on the part of gov­ern­ment but also on the part of the media. Over the past few days on my tele­vi­sion I have seen images of “Coali­tion” POWs held by the Iraqis, often fol­lowed by a state­ment claim­ing that these images were taken by Iraqis in viol­a­tion of inter­na­tional law. And indeed they were. Yet nobody com­plains when the US does it! They did it in Afgh­anistan, Guantanamo Bay and, yes, even in Iraq! I’ve lost track of how many inter­na­tional laws the US has broken, not only in this war but also in pre­vi­ous wars. These include the use of chem­ical and bio­lo­gical weapons (I thought Sad­dam was the one using those?!), cluster bombs and depleted uranium, and the tar­get­ing of civil­ian facil­it­ies. What makes me sad is that my own gov­ern­ment is an accom­plice to this. There are (were?) Aus­tralian cit­izens being illeg­ally and indef­in­itely detained in Guantanamo Bay like anim­als, and the Aus­tralian gov­ern­ment doesn’t care.

Another thing I can­not under­stand is the ‘logic’ that some people seem to hold that since the USA helped France in World War II, France should help the USA invade Iraq. Why should France help the US when it is the aggressor? Note that I’m not try­ing to defend France, because I don’t like them much either. How­ever, this doesn’t make any sense to me at all. If I wanted to use such ‘logic’ (which it isn’t), then I could men­tion that the French gov­ern­ment prac­tic­ally bank­rup­ted itself help­ing the Amer­ican col­on­ists achieve inde­pend­ence. Louis XVI basic­ally gave his life for the Amer­ican people, since the French Revolu­tion might not have happened hadn’t he been forced to pay for his war debts through rais­ing taxes. I could also men­tion that although World War II began in 1939, and France was invaded in June 1940, it wasn’t until Decem­ber 1941 that the United States entered the war. Even then, it was Ger­many that declared war, not the USA. Some ‘friends’ they were! Of course, using such argu­ments would be excess­ively facile, so I include them only to show their idiocy.

Update: I just came across this hypo­thet­ical dis­cus­sion between a war­mon­ger and a peacenik. I found it quite amusing.

Update [200304-06]: Britain’s Chan­nel 4 screened a great comedy/​documentary on 5 Janu­ary called “Between Iraq and a Hard Place”. You can watch the whole thing over the Inter­net (stream­ing, requires Real­player) here.

Mar 25 2003

I came across this art­icle at csmon​itor​.com. Basic­ally, it’s point­ing out how juven­ile a boy­cott of all words and products of French ori­gin would be, for example renam­ing French fries to free­dom fries. Besides, they are actu­ally from Bel­gium, not France. Maybe we should call them oil fries? It only makes sense :)

That got me think­ing. If so many Amer­ic­ans are eager to boy­cott everything French, what will they do with the admir­als, com­modores, bri­gadier gen­er­als, col­on­els, com­mand­ers, cap­tains, lieu­ten­ants, war­rant officers, ensigns, ser­geants, cor­por­als, spe­cial­ists and air­men in their armed forces? Surely they wouldn’t want to use those in the war against Iraq? That leaves only sea­men and privates for the assault (gen­er­als and majors are officers). Can they fight a battle without aero­planes (includ­ing jets and their pilots), armour, artil­lery, bombs, rock­ets, gren­ades, bul­lets, rifles or machine guns? Can they attack without magazines or the ammuni­tion stored inside them? And who needs sol­diers, any­way? Maybe they don’t need an army, navy, air force or mar­ines? Heck, per­haps they don’t need a mil­it­ary at all!

Strangely enough, weapons inspector doesn’t seem to be of French origin.

In semi-​​related news, Man­drake Linux 9.1 is out. OSNews has a great review of it, and Tweak­hound has an inform­at­ive inter­view with Man­drake Linux founder Gaël Duval. It looks amaz­ing, par­tic­u­larly com­pared to 9.0, which could have been bet­ter (although I didn’t think 9.0 was nearly as bad as many review­ers did). As a side note, I clicked the “More links HERE” link at the bot­tom of the Gaël Duval inter­view and found PCLinuxOn​line​.com lis­ted under “Other Good Linux Sites”. Yay!!!

I’ve seen com­ments by some Amer­ic­ans advoc­at­ing a boy­cott of Man­drake Linux because Man­drakeSoft is French. To them, I have this to say: Are you really that retarded?! I mean, that’s just idi­otic [see defin­i­tion 2]! Free soft­ware is an inter­na­tional effort. Code and developers come from all over the world. The corol­lary of this is that most of the code in Man­drake Linux isn’t from France at all. It also means that all GNU/​Linux dis­tri­bu­tions have some code that would have ori­gin­ated in France. Maybe you should boy­cott Red Hat, Debian and every­one else as well?

Mar 2 2003

There’s been a lot of news in the past few months about a pos­sible war in Iraq. I thought I should get my thoughts down on this. I ini­tially wrote the fol­low­ing in response to a com­ment that the USA should be allowed to attack Iraq on the basis of “free­dom”. I’ve never really under­stood this atti­tude, because to me it seems clear that the US gov­ern­ment is not con­cerned with free­dom at all, and is simply using it as an excuse to fur­ther its own interests (this is typ­ical beha­viour of any gov­ern­ment). Nev­er­the­less, I am not entirely for or against such a war at this stage. I always like to keep my options open. I don’t like Sad­dam Hus­sein, but I don’t like the Bush Admin­is­tra­tion either. Any­way, here’s what I wrote:

Sorry, but that’s a very simplistic atti­tude. Firstly, you should remem­ber that Sad­dam Hus­sein was built up by the USA for dec­ades before the (first) Gulf War, and the situ­ation was not much dif­fer­ent back then. Sad­dam was the same mur­der­ous dic­tator he is today.

You’re fool­ing your­self if you think this is about “free­dom”. No gov­ern­ment really cares about free­dom, they care about power. In the Middle East, much of the power is based around oil.

France have oil con­tracts with Iraq, and in the past they’ve also had nuc­lear energy con­tracts (I don’t know if these still exist). They obvi­ously don’t want to risk these end­ing. I think Rus­sia mey also have oil agree­ments with Iraq. Another reason why Rus­sia may be against what the Bush Admin­is­tra­tion calls “régime change” is the pos­sib­il­ity of a pipeline being built to trans­port oil and gas from former Soviet repub­lics to the Gulf, bypassing Russia.

The USA are also after power. The oil industry is incred­ibly power­ful in the USA, more so than in many other coun­tries, and they’ve even man­aged to “per­suade” the gov­ern­ment to give them bil­lions of dol­lars in annual sub­sidies and tax breaks. Bush comes from a Texan oil fam­ily, and he has never hid­den the fact that oil is a very import­ant part of his administration’s policy — just look at his insist­ence on drilling in eco­lo­gic­ally sens­it­ive areas of Alaska. The USA is the world’s largest con­sumer of oil, both in abso­lute terms and per cap­ita. Clearly, oil is very import­ant to US cit­izens, and noth­ing would make them hap­pier than cheap fuel.

Invad­ing Iraq would not only secure a cheap energy source for the USA and US oil com­pan­ies, it would also weaken France (and hence the EU) and Rus­sia (which the US still views as a pos­sible rival) by nul­li­fy­ing their cur­rent con­tracts with Iraq. It would also strengthen the USA’s geo­pol­it­ical pos­i­tion in the region, giv­ing them a per­man­ent base right in the middle of the richest oil reserves in the world. The US also has an aim towards “encirc­ling” its (poten­tial) major rivals: Rus­sia and China. If you look on a map, you can see that this encirclement is mostly com­plete, with an expand­ing NATO in the east; Iraq, Afgh­anistan and Pakistan (BTW, why does the USA sup­port an undemo­cratic dic­tator like Per­vez Mush­ar­raf, whom every­one knows sup­ports ter­ror­ists?) in the south; and Taiwan, Japan and South Korea in the west.

In the world of inter­na­tional rela­tions, there are no clear-​​cut “good guys” and “bad guys”. Every­one is after power, and they’ll use whatever means they can to get it. If the US truly cared about free­dom, they would have pushed for demo­crat­isa­tion in Kuwait. Instead, they rein­stalled the dic­tat­ors. Did the US media ever try to exam­ine why Iraq attacked Kuwait in the first place, or they instantly paint Iraq as the “bad guy” and jump to the war cov­er­age (i.e. the ratings/​money earners)? To this day I have not even seen one men­tion in the main­stream press (Aus­tralian, Brit­ish or Amer­ican) that Kuwait was slant-​​drilling to steal Iraq’s oil, or that Kuwait was threat­en­ing to devalue the Iraqi Dinar. To me, that sounds like suf­fi­cient grounds for an attack, provided that all dip­lo­matic aven­ues had failed (as they did between Iraq and Kuwait).

I am try­ing my best to sit on the fence on this one. How­ever, what I don’t get are those people (mostly Amer­ican) who claim that this is about “free­dom”. Here’s some news: your gov­ern­ment does not care about free­dom. They have proven that with their Home­land Secur­ity Act and related legis­la­tion. If they don’t care about free­dom at home, what makes you think they’ll care about free­dom in Iraq? They cer­tainly don’t care about free­dom in Pakistan, or Kuwait, or Panama, or Chile, or in count­less other countries.

This isn’t about ter­ror­ism, either. There is no proven links between Iraq and ter­ror­ist groups, other than the vague “ter­ror­ist X vis­ited Iraq one time”. Osama bin Laden has made it abund­antly clear that he con­siders Sad­dam Hus­sein to be an infi­del, so that rules out any Iraq-​​Al Quaeda con­nec­tion. Of course, that tit­bit was never repor­ted in the US media. Instead, Amer­ic­ans got only a small sample of Osama’s speech (which came via Al Jaz­eera), care­fully chosen to ignite anger towards both Iraq and Osama bin Laden. Don’t ya just love the press? They’ll do any­thing for rat­ings, and hence money.